With all my nebbish-like hand-wringing of this morning’s post, in which I worried that the bears were so terribly at risk, I guess it makes sense that the bulls got piano wires wrapped around their throats. We went into an immediate dive following the opening bell, with the blowout earnings from banks having a positive effective on financial stocks as long-lived as a lucky high school junior during a successful prom night after-party.
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
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Is There Any Other Kind?
I think the bears could be in “grave danger” for two related reasons. First, we have either filled or are about to fill some important price gaps, and second, there is a fairly well-formed basing pattern over the past several weeks, as shown here on the S&P 500 futures:
Watch Small Caps for Short-Term Leadership
The Russell 2000 Index (RUT) is holding closer to its January all-time highs, compared with the Dow 30, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Indices, as shown on the following daily charts.
Its momentum indicator remains the strongest, of late, and is above the zero level, as are the others.
Two High Fliers I Love to Hate
In The Inflection Point
Stan and I are doing our monthly free public webinar on the Big Five and Sectors after the close tonight and we’ll be looking at AMZN, AAPL, FB, NFLX, TSLA, IBB, IYR, XLE, XLF, XLK and XRT. If you’d like to attend you can register for that on our April Free Webinars page. We are also of course doing our monthly free public Chart Chat on Sunday and you can register for that on the same page.
The possible triangle resistance on SPX broke and ES and SPX have both broken their respective IHS trendlines at the highs today, so all of ES/SPX, NQ/NDX and TF/RUT have now broken up from their IHS necklines. This is the inflection point I was looking at in Chart Chat on Sunday and if this is going to be a Janus bear flag reversal, then I’d expect a failure here or not too much higher. If the IHSes are for real then the respective targets on SPX/NDX and RUT would be in the 2792, 6920 and 108 areas respectively. I’ll be taking the bull targets seriously if SPX reaches 2712. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)
