Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

There Is A Lot Of Financial Pain Coming For The United States Of America

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By Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net

For those of you that have followed me through the years, you would know that I utilize Elliott Wave analysis to track the markets I follow within the context of both their smaller and larger cycles. And, to that end, you would know that I am neither a perma-bull nor a perma-bear. Rather, I see the market as it is, and not as I believe it should be.

For example, when everyone was getting very bullish in late 2015, I warned that we were setting up for a drop from the 2100 region back down to the 1800 region. Yet, I also warned that investors should not get too bearish, since that pullback will set the market up for a multi-year rally pointing to 2600+ in the SPX.

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Trio Check-In

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Given the crazy moves interest rates have been making lately, I thought we’d check in on my trio of bearish positions (by way of being long January 2019 in-the-money put options). Below are all three, with an arrow marking my “uh-oh” spot when things would turn wrong. So far, they haven’t, but I’m wringing my hands a bit more than I used to. First there is the Dow 15 Utilities:

XLU (more…)

What a Piece of Bit

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I’ve never put a penny into the world of cryptos, but I find the financial and psychological phenomena around that “industry” (ha!) to be fascinating. Since mid-December, the bloom has come off the rose, to say the least, but it hasn’t been a straight line down. Indeed, Bitcoin a few weeks ago looked like it might muster back into the quintuple-digits again (which would mean merely a 50% drop from its highs), but its hands slipped away from that rope.

bitcoin (more…)