In precisely eight weeks, polls will be closing and results are going to start trickling in for the most important election of our lifetimes. As I’ve said countless times, I want to avoid political discussion on my website (although some Slopers remain non-compliant). This post isn’t about politics. It’s about your personal prediction of the outcome and its immediate effect on the equity markets.

I have just two questions for you. One of them involves who you think will win. Now let me be very, very clear about this. This is not about who you WANT to win. It’s about who you THINK will win. As in, who would you bet money on winning?

Let’s say, as a purely hypothetical example that I, Tim Knight, thought Donald Trump was the worst President in history and that he should be killed on live television in front of his family. But let’s also say that I, Tim Knight, believed he was going to win the election bigly. In that instance, I would NOT vote based on my political beliefs, but instead on my prediction. I would click “Trump Landslide“. That would be my bet. Not my wish. My bet. Got it?