Two Swings, Two Misses

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Well, it’s been two months since I ran the survey. Let’s see how those Sloper predictions worked out:

So it’s been a few days, and there’s no clear winner yet, but, look – – let’s be serious, if we can, just for a moment – – I think Biden is probably going to be the guy. So, if that is true, it seems that the third most popular choice (Biden Beats Trump – Close Call) was the correct one.

And as for this……….

Since the poll ran on the 8th of September, the S&P 500 is about 5% higher. Thus, “A Little Higher Than Now”, the second most popular choice, turned out to be the case. Too bad for all us heartbroken bears that the top choice didn’t ensue!

And, as I’ve said, things have been relatively civil. And as for bad political predictions, hey, at least we’re nowhere near as unhinged as the crackpots over at ZH, whose comments just prior to the election I captured with this snapshot:

Honestly, I grouse from time to time about “tone” and “discourse”, but having waded into the Twitterverse for a few minutes this morning to see the political fistfights going on, I’ve got to say Slope is the apotheosis of decorum and decency in comparison. Let’s try to keep it that way.

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