Last Fed Spread of the Year

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One of the (many) advantages of a Gold or Platinum membership is access to Layered Charts. One of the (many) uses of Layered Charts is what I call the “Fed Spread” which ostensibly predicts where the S&P 500 should be in a couple of weeks’ time. Here, hot off the press, are the component parts:

Balance Sheet
Assets Held by Fed
Overnight Reverse Repo

Mash ’em together, roll ’em out, bake ’em, and you get………

Behold: the Fed Spread

In other words, we’re about 200 points overvalued right.

Good.