Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Securitizing Feelings

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Yeah, yeah, I know. Tulip bulbs. The South Sea bubble. Japan in the late 1980s. We’ve heard these tired old tropes countless times, yet given the age we live in, these allegories are the equivalent of holding up a $20 bill and expecting to keep the rapt attention of your audience while there is a billion bucks of gold stacked up behind you. We need the drama to match our new reality.

What we are experiencing at this very moment utterly dwarfs all past examples, and on this very weekend, we have entered an entirely new level of crazy.

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It’s a Magic Number

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Check out the fascinating chart below: it illustrates the behavior of bull markets during the first three years of their existence. 2023 underperformed the Year One average. Year Two, 2024, more than made up for it. And Year Three? Well, that would be this year, 2025, and as you can plainly see, the historical behavior of the third years of bull markets tends to be flat, to put it kindly.