Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Biotech Opportunities (by Xerxes)

By -

In a world where everything is so overvalued (only relative to fundamentals like P/E ratios if you follow that sort of thing), what’s left to actually buy?

Well, I’ve always found that when in doubt, you can go back to wading through the OGs of meme stocks, i.e., biotech. There’s been a lot of action lately that, to those paying attention, there is a lot of short-term quick “opportunities”.

I put that in quotes because playing bio tech stocks can be very addictive if you aren’t following appropriate rules. These are essentially lottery plays, hence the title of this post. That is not to say that true opportunity doesn’t exist. But you need to keep a book level mentality when playing them because some may not work out at all. They are volatile and susceptible to sudden gap downs if/when some products may not get that FDA approval they were waiting on or some lawsuit comes out against their primary (or sometimes only) product.

(more…)

Worst. Analog. Ever.

By -

I’m quite fond of analogies. My brain is wired for them as well as metaphors, which is perhaps one of the reasons I enjoy writing so much. As for analogs in the financial markets, I’ve got an entire section on Slope dedicated to them, and although most analogs don’t tend to work out as hoped, they’re still a useful guide in the spirit of history rhyming.

Now, it’s common knowledge that Zerohedge has become a Goldman Sacks shill and a permabull, with their loudest and most permabullish writer being Market Ear. They have been pushing the 1997 analog lately, and they mentioned it again today.

(more…)

From Dawn to Musk

By -

Last year, I made a number of predictions about Elon Musk’s role in the federal government. Specifically, I said that (a) he would never save the $2 trillion he claimed (b) he would be frustrated at the lumbering, sclerotic pace of government (c) he would quit by the spring and return to his corporate roles, where he enjoys absolute power.

Well, you’ve heard the news by now. A month ago, he was already inching away from all the DOGE stuff, and now he’s completely pulled the plug……………just like I predicted.


(more…)