Melting Metal

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My recent obsession with precious metals has been getting some ribbing, but that’s OK. I think there’s no market more important to spelling out our financial future, and as I’ve said repeatedly, it’s the one asset whose ascent I applaud.

Paradoxically, I am quite pleased to see gold finally start to take a tumble.

golddown

It got very close to $2090/ounce and then did an about-face. I would say the first level of meaningful support is around $1980, and a much, much more solid level of support is way down around $1800.

goldsupport

Perhaps my lifelong fixation on being different from the crowd made me uneasy supporting an asset which had been garnering so much attention, but honestly, in spite of my long-term target of $6,400/ounce, there need to be shake-outs and breathers along the way.

The old “Tim’s visits to the bullion shop fade indicator” doesn’t work anymore. I’ve actually been doing quite well with my buys and sells. I sold some of my gold recently since I just had too damned much of the stuff, and I would be absolutely delighted to march right back in there and gobble up a bunch closer to $1800.

In the meanwhile, I am cheerfully short XME, which I think could be one of the best ETF shorts for the rest of the year.

slopechart XME