CAT-F, CAT-F, Dog One is Open

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This has been a very tense week. The persistent tug-of-war between good (the bears) and evil (the bulls) has been worse than ever, with neither side gaining a toehold. Today (Wednesday), however, helped the bearish cause in a couple of ways.

First off, the all-important crude oil bounced perfectly off the upper trendline of its wedge pattern. This is the only reason I made a decent profit today, because my positions are so prone to movement in crude oil. The weaker this gets, the better things go for the bears. Oil is crucial.

0518-crude

In addition, with the Fed signaling another interest rate increase in just a month from now, the ES has a real chance to break below 2030.50. I have offered a target move below, which I considered only giving to my beloved Slope Plus members, but I figured I’d give the unwashed masses something of value better than a George Carlin clip off YouTube for a change.

0518-estwh

I have 73 short positions, the largest of which is JNK. The battle continues on, but if we can break 2030.50, the butter gets spread on the linoleum.