Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Time Target Acquired, Election On Deck

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Our time target for the bull market will be registered on election day

Of course, there must be a (+/-) tolerance built into the time target because who among us is a legitimate Swami, able to read the future in pin-point fashion? None of us, that’s who. Least of all, those perma-wrongs that the media will one day tout in eyeball harvesting headlines.

e.g. Man who predicted 2025 bear market and recession has a new prediction

Problem is, they never mention how long “man” was wrong before he was right. Some off brand Swamis are wrong for vast majorities of previous bull markets. Some, for all of the previous bull markets. But the media rarely let a good hook go to waste. So for the sake of ever-important credibility, I’ll supply you one historical post (of many) stating “into and through the election” for the intact economy: February Payrolls…

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Gold & Miners- the Journey Ahead

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Gold’s bull market has, through twists and turns, been ongoing since 2000 and through coming twists and turns, will keep going

Gold’s current bull market phase has been somewhat muted, compared to much of the 2000-2011 phase, when it was loud indeed. Much of that can be attributed to the fact that gold is still flatlining in relation to the S&P 500 and other major stock indexes (it has been rising since 2021 in relation to lesser and broader measures, like Small Caps and the Value Line Geometric Index), whereas gold boomed vs. SPX from 2000 to 2011.

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Trends Up, Bull On, Risk High

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The opening segment from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 829: Trends Up, Bull On, Risk High (Macro Discussion)

The segment’s title might also read “Another Week, Status Unchanged”, as it has been for so long now. That status targets “to or through the election” [for the broad bull rally], as it has all year long (with a few caution points along the way).

I’d like to go back to one of my favorite charts illustrating the macro situation of 2024. While some are giddy (the casual public “playing” a stock market that always goes up, eventually), some are pissed (those who have staked their marketing schemes, and thus their reputations, on a perma-bearish view) and some are bewildered (mainstream investment houses retooling their outlooks in lagging fashion with every interim macro event/turn), we simply follow our guides, like the 2 year Treasury yield’s divergence to the (Fed proxy) 3 month T-bill yield, which is now finally starting to adjust to the divergence, as expected.

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