Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Many have questioned why the gold price has failed to do the normal thing (decline significantly) in the face of high ‘real’ yields (an indication of very tight monetary policy)…
This article views the gold stock sector’s big picture bullish situation from the standpoint of a single indicator, the HUI/Gold ratio and its relationship to the 30 year Treasury bond yield.
On the shorter-term and without going into tactical detail in a public post, the gold stock sector will either continue bouncing to end the correction that has been in force since the spring or it will take a final plunge. A final shakeout that could come amid vastly improved or improving fundamentals. As of the end of Q3 those fundamentals had not improved. They had degraded.
(more…)This is a financial market article that also delves into social commentary. The new macro, as exemplified by the 30 year Treasury Bond yield chart below, will bring change; both social and financial. The two are, of course, related. Here we do not come to firm conclusions, and so perhaps the article does not get picked up by some re-publishers. But in a time of change, I believe that the process of interpretation is more important than forming conclusions, just yet. Conclusions will be handled by trend followers, promoters and gurus, as they have been for decades.
(more…)There sure are a lot more indicators NFTRH uses to gauge the macro, but these three will suffice for the point of this article, which is that change is coming and the nature of that change could not be more different in its two potentials.
(more…)Ever since the 30 year Treasury bond yield (one ‘top-down’ macro tool NFTRH uses to gauge the environment so that we may invest in, speculate upon or avoid certain situations, accordingly) broke its Continuum of pleasantly declining long-term Treasury bond yields, macro nerds have been called to task in order to correctly interpret the forward backdrop that this break implies. The note at the upper right of the chart asks the key question.
