Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

ES Quantitative Analysis

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All right, a couple of notes before we begin the ES analysis for today:

1) someone pointed out that a Stop Loss at 1734 is very far away, adding that no one sane in his mind would take 100 points in his face like that. First of all, the Stop Loss must be put in context: that number, 1734, represents the END OF THE RANGE that we consider “tradable” for LONG trades. This means that we have a preferred LONG trading price range where we think Swing Trading techniques can be successful. If the price goes below that level it means this is no more Swing Trading but Nose Diving/Crash, etc., something else, so you better get out quick (Stop Loss at 1734). It does not mean you enter a trade at 1813 and exit at 1734, we agree that does not sound very smart and in fact we have NEVER suggested to do so. There would be some more comments to add in regard to the fact that in some circumstances, and with certain deep pockets, one may actually be able to trade the entire range, from 1813 to 1734 and make a profit, but this goes out of our scope here, so we will not get into that. (more…)

ES Quantitative Analysis

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Note: to complete the transition from “TA” mindset to “quant trading” mindset, we have completely removed the charts from our published market research. The focus now is exclusively directed on price levels and their probabilistic significance in the context of market price swings.

TO GO LONG ANALYSIS
The CCOC DAILY gauge below is showing 0% odds to GO LONG. (more…)

ES Quantitative Analysis

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Before we publish the ES Quantitative Analysis for today, a couple of clarifications:

1) the Analysis product presented here is NOT a trading system, in other words we simply use our quantitative metrics to analyze the chances (odds) for the ES market to change trend direction at certain price levels – the decision about Position Sizing, Stop Loss and exact price trading execution levels are entirely up to the single trader/investor (more…)

ES Quantitative Analysis

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Hi to everyone, this is something new on Slope of Hope (unless you have been following this blog since inception…).

Retracement Levels Ltd. publishes Quantitative Market Analysis like this for the SPX index since 2008, roughly 1600 daily articles have been published so far, on a daily basis. What we do is to analyze the market trend for selected indexes, using exclusively our proprietary quantitative measurements. Our analysis is called “Quantitative Analysis”, and it is different in name and substance from “Technical Analysis”. (more…)