Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Support Breaks on US Indices

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In my last post on Wednesday I was looking at the move up from Tuesday afternoon’s low and noting that the almost complete absence of participation on DIA and IWM was a serious concern, as on a pullback on the tech-led rally, we might then see significant support breaks on Dow and Russell stocks.

At the same time the new inflation figures landed and, not to beat around the bush, they sucked, with a 0.2% rise in inflation led by food prices. The consensus seems to be that the Fed will cut rates this month anyway, but I’m doubtful about that, and regardless of that, the rally in bonds seems to have failed to reach the obvious targets and to be resuming the larger downtrend, so in practical terms interest rates, as delivered in bond yields, are already back on an upward path.

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Watching The Solana Bull Flag

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In my last post on Monday I was looking at the possibility that a bull flag channel might well be forming on Solana, and that delivered beautifully. Not everyone saw the post of course as you can see from a tweet I saw last night:

Solana (SOLUSD) reached the daily 3sd lower band, often a good area to look for a reversal, tested that twice and has rejected higher. Key resistance remains at the daily middle band, currently at 236, which has held as resistance at the close each day for the last ten days. That needs to be broken and converted to support to clear the path for Solana to retest the all time high.

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A Pause For Breath

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In my premarket video yesterday morning I was looking at the large number of short term sell signs across the equity indices and making the case for a modest retracement before going higher. We’ve seen that modest retracement and might go a bit lower, but a reversal back up directly from here may be seen instead.

There were three short term patterns on US indices that I was looking at yesterday morning, including double tops on SPX and Dow.

On SPX the double top has reached the minimum target, with the extended target a little lower at 6044.

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Bullish Consolidations on Crypto

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In my last post on Thursday I was looking at the possibility that the bullish consolidation on Solana (SOLUSD) particularly might see another lower low as part of a bull flag forming, and the jury was still out on that this morning.

On the daily chart Solana has still been holding the daily middle band, currently at 239.41, as resistance. The path to a lower low is still open, and there are some attractive targets.

On the daily chart the obvious support is at the monthly pivot at 219.10, and the 50dma, currently at 210.07. 210 would be a close backtest of the broken March 2020 high at 209.86 of course.

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