Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Gathering Storms

By -

In the last couple of weeks of October I was writing about the likelihood of seeing a bullish November, and we saw that, but it wasn’t really what I had in mind. The bullish part came when Trump won the presidential election and, on SPX at least, the rest of the month was spent retesting that high, with both SPX and ES both now at new all time highs from there.

I was looking for more, and we might still get more, but more than half of the bullish window into Xmas is now behind us, and the news coming from the coming new administration is already starting to disturb the markets.

(more…)

Minority Report

By -

On Friday morning I was looking at an interesting bull setup across the Crypto instruments that I look at every day. You can see that here if you’re interested in my Crypto channel on YouYube.

On Bitcoin (BTCUSD) a small but bullish leaning falling wedge was starting to break up, and I was saying that I was expecting that to deliver a retest of the all time high in due course. That has delivered now.

BTCUSD 15min chart:

(more…)

Strange Days on US Treasuries

By -

In my last post on oil and natural gas I was talking about starting to do a post every week or two reviewing a single instrument that I cover in my futures and currencies charts on multiple timeframes to sketch out the higher probability paths going forward. This is the first of those posts, apart obviously from my earlier posts on oil and nat gas. I’ll be aiming to do one of these posts every week.

This week I’m going to look at a very important inflection point that looks likely to be coming up on US treasuries over the next few months to a year. I wrote in January on the TNX daily chart below that I was expecting a possible topping pattern to form, either a double top or an H&S after a test of the obvious possible H&S neckline at 32.53.

(more…)

Huge News Week Part Two

By -

On election day I was writing that the huge news this week would likely dominate the markets, and the first and larger part of the news is in, with Trump elected President again, and markets breaking higher in response.

I was also writing a few days ago about two unfinished business targets above that I was expecting to see hit within weeks and they were a new all time high on QQQ (done), a retest of the 2024 high on IWM (done) and possibly a retest of the 2021 all time high on IWM (also done). That has cleared out the unfinished business targets above so today I’m going to be looking at possible targets higher on the US indices.

(more…)

Three Crypto Bulls

By -

In the conclusion to my post yesterday I said:

‘So what’s the takeaway here? Well before the open this morning I was talking about the decent looking possible double bottoms on Bitcoin, Solana, SPX and DIA. Those have broken up on Bitcoin and Solana, and the ones on SPX and DIA are heading that way at speed at the moment. We could see a strong rally across the board today and, subject to the huge news week this week, that could take all of these back to last week’s highs. ‘

(more…)