Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The SPX All Time High Retest

By -

At the end of every year Stan and I do a public webinar where we look at the more likely options for price moves on indices, bonds, forex, metals, energies and other commodities over the coming year. At the one we recorded on 30th December 2018 we were asked a question as to what could invalidate the scenario that SPX was in an ongoing bear market and I gave the reply below talking about the important resistance at the monthly middle band in an ongoing market.

Excerpt from 2019 Outlook public webinar recorded 30th December 2018 looking at the SPX monthly middle band in bear markets. :

(more…)

Topping Is A Process

By -

In my premarket video this morning I was looking at key support and resistance to define what we were likely to see on SPX this week. Resistance I put at the new weekly pivot at 2907.7. ES was opening the week below this and if that held as resistance, then this swing high might be behind us. That has not held as resistance, ES is back above it, at 2910 at the time of writing, and WP is currently holding as support. This opens a very possible retest of the 2019 high and likely at least marginal higher high above that.

ES Jun 60min:

(more…)

Looking At Support Levels

By -

This really is one of the most nicely formed trendline highs on SPX/ES here that I’ve seen in a while and, so far at least, trendline resistance is holding like a champ. As long as that remains the case we should either be starting the first swing down now or, if the weekly pivot on ES at 2879.50 can’t be broken and converted to resistance on this test, we would likely need one more high retest to complete a slightly larger double top than the one that has already formed and broken down on both SPX and ES.

The short term setup here is a double top that might be a Janus bull flag. That’s a pattern of mine and I haven’t yet found time to write a definition page with examples but the short version is that a double top has formed and broken down slightly. At this stage SPX either heads to the double top target, or rejects back into a full high retest. One of those two scenarios should be next. I talked about the setup here and support levels in my premarket video this morning.

(more…)

So Here We Are Again

By -

On Tuesday I was looking at the obvious resistance trendlines on SPX that might be hit this week in the 2885-2900 area and I’ve been watching those since. This morning they have been hit at 2891/2 with a possible hourly RSI 14 sell signal brewing, so this is an important inflection point and possible swing high area. I talked about that before the open this morning and this is the full version below of my premarket video also covering the usual wide array of future and forex instruments.

(more…)