Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

SPLV vs. SPX vs. CRX

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This Daily comparison chart of the SPLV (which is an ETF containing the top 100 lowest-volatility stocks in the S&P 500 Index) with the SPX  shows that they have traded pretty much in tandem since the ETF’s inception.

However, that correlation diverged in mid-May and the SPLV has now made a lower closing swing low on this timeframe. Furthermore, the Momentum indicator has dropped below the zero level signalling potential further weakness ahead. (more…)

The Nikkei “Pop-and-Drop”

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I last wrote about Japan’s Nikkei e-mini Futures Index (NDX) on February 8th.

Since then, price rallied a staggering 4850 points to a high of 16020 (reached earlier this week) and promptly dropped 2020 points as of 12:45 pm EST today (Friday), as shown on the Weekly chart below. You can see that this week’s candle is in the midst of forming an enormous outside bar, encompassing the past two weeks. This candle’s low of 14000 has hit a confluence zone of several external Fibonacci retracement levels. (more…)