Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Biting the Big One

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You are probably weary of me griping about my mismanagement of my Bitcoin short. Too bad! I’ve got to get this off my chest.

Simply stated, my declaration at $83,000 that Bitcoin was about to fall hard was, to date, the greatest trade idea of the Year of our Lord 2026. It was brilliant. I think, in sum, I made a few thousand bucks off of it. BFD. That’s pretty goddamned sad for the trade of the year.

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My SpaceX Plans

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I am tremendously excited about SpaceX, which comes public at the end of this week. There are many reasons for this:

  • I’m a market addict, and this is one of the biggest financial events of our lives;
  • The performance of this stock will have an outsized influence over the long-term trajectory of the Knight clan;
  • There is a real possibility (although it’s being touted much too often for me to believe it) that the SPCX IPO will mark the ultimate top of this insane 18-year-old bull market

There are thousands of possible outcomes to SPCX on its IPO and even just the several trading days that follow, but I’d like to go on record with my worthless guess which is this: I believe it will open very late on Friday (after hours of everyone waiting) with a huge gain from its $135 offer price, and at the end of the day, it will be near its lows for the day, although it’ll still retain a meaningful pop from the IPO.

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