Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Dow Jones Forecast Based on Past Cycles

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W D Gann was a master at finding patterns in the past to guide the future.
Gann

W D Gann forecasters are following this chart:

Dow Past

Two patterns from the past with a correlation greater than 90% below. The more data in the pattern with a high correlation is more significant than short time frames, simply as they are rare.

shrink!INDU correlation

 

Investing Quote…

…”In the long run commodity prices are governed by one law – the economic law of demand and supply”..

Jesse Livermore

..”If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks”..

John (Jack) Bogle

Crude Oil Cycle Review

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If crude oil has a dominant cycle, then does this mean world conflict has a cycle? Crude oil cycle watches new an upswing in 2013 was coming soon. We all know the correlation with $100 oil and instant recession that follows in the USA. Well what happens when you have $120 oil and 10 year interest rates higher by 30% at say 3.25%. Consumer squeeze coming. Get the feeling that he commodity bull run is about to start again. Metals, energy and grains have been hitting higher prices recently. This of course means the US Federal Reserve can never stop printing as the US has large bills to pay. (more…)