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On the morning of Wednesday December 26, the first trading day after the Christmas Day holiday, the ES (e-mini March S&P 500)) plunged to a new three-month corrective low at 2316.75, a full 21.4% beneath its September 21 high. In the hours thereafter, ES reversed strongly to the upside, from an acute oversold condition, and with a bit of prompting from the POTUS.
In my closing commentary in our member room at MPTrader.com, I wrote::
You’re going to hear a quintet of words many times over the next day: “All Eyes On The Fed“, as the bloodied financial world prays that Jerome Powell will have absolutely no backbone at all and, out of fear of getting a mean tweet from the President, will cease raising interest rates. This morning, we can also see the hope that he will in fact wilt built into a saucer pattern on the ES:
There was a time I thought pretty much all my readers were from the United States. Out of fear of offshore hacking, I blocked a ton of countries and quickly found out how many loyal readers I have in places I could never have imagined. It seems just about every landmass with civilization has Slopers on it. Indeed, looking at my Twitter followers (which is a pretty good proxy for the site in general), you can see how they are spread far and wide.
Mentioned many times before, but just an update………
So if the prospect of a relaxation in trade wars is worth 3,000 points on the Dow, then surely the total collapse of trade talks is worth – – what – – about 70 points or so? Anyway, as I type this on Sunday evening, the ES is down, getting slaughtered and vanquished to the tune of two-tenths of a single percentage point. It’s just like last weekend. A mountain of bad news resulting in a tiny downtick, all of which will be green by tomorrow, right?
