Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Watching The Solana Bull Flag

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In my last post on Monday I was looking at the possibility that a bull flag channel might well be forming on Solana, and that delivered beautifully. Not everyone saw the post of course as you can see from a tweet I saw last night:

Solana (SOLUSD) reached the daily 3sd lower band, often a good area to look for a reversal, tested that twice and has rejected higher. Key resistance remains at the daily middle band, currently at 236, which has held as resistance at the close each day for the last ten days. That needs to be broken and converted to support to clear the path for Solana to retest the all time high.

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A Pause For Breath

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In my premarket video yesterday morning I was looking at the large number of short term sell signs across the equity indices and making the case for a modest retracement before going higher. We’ve seen that modest retracement and might go a bit lower, but a reversal back up directly from here may be seen instead.

There were three short term patterns on US indices that I was looking at yesterday morning, including double tops on SPX and Dow.

On SPX the double top has reached the minimum target, with the extended target a little lower at 6044.

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Bullish Crypto Options

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I was saying on my last post that there were daily sell signals fixed on BTCUSD (Bitcoin) and SOLUSD (Solana), that a bullish consolidation period looked very possible and we’ve been seeing that. So how’s that going?

On the Bitcoin daily chart below the daily RSI 5 sell signal has almost reached the possible near miss target at 31 to 37 on the RSI 5 and that might be enough. The RSI 14 sell signal has fixed but is a longer term signal and we may well see significantly higher highs before that makes target. It is an early warning to watch out for a longer multi-week or month consolidation that may be coming in the first months of next year.

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Gathering Storms

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In the last couple of weeks of October I was writing about the likelihood of seeing a bullish November, and we saw that, but it wasn’t really what I had in mind. The bullish part came when Trump won the presidential election and, on SPX at least, the rest of the month was spent retesting that high, with both SPX and ES both now at new all time highs from there.

I was looking for more, and we might still get more, but more than half of the bullish window into Xmas is now behind us, and the news coming from the coming new administration is already starting to disturb the markets.

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