I was reading some material this evening from the folks at Elliott Wave, and I noted with interest they had plotted a 400-day moving average on the S&P. I hadn't ever really tried that before, so I gave it a shot:
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Opex Friday (by Springheel Jack)
Opex today so the day is less predictable than it would be otherwise. I have declining resistance and support trendlines on ES, and for what they are worth resistance is in the 1140 area and support is in the 1070-80 area:
The Crazy 88s
I took a step back this week and looked at a longer view than I normally do.
The following is the weekly SPX close since 1990 with both an 88 SMA and an 88 EMA. I can’t think of a signal simpler than selling when price crosses down through the MAs (green arrows) and buying when it breaks up through (blue arrows). As of 2 weeks ago, SPX has once again broken down through the 88s:
| Date | Close | 88W SMA | 88W EMA |
| 7/26/2011 | 1292.28 | 1196.73 | 1217.94 |
| 8/2/2011 | 1199.38 | 1197.96 | 1217.53 |
| 8/9/2011 | 1178.81 | 1198.78 | 1216.66 |
| 8/16/2011 | 1192.76 | 1199.76 | 1216.12 |
Mercy Should Alloy Our Stern Resentment
(1) First Red Arrow – selloff required to give Bernanke permission to shove through whatever agenda he demands;
(2) Green Arrow – Bernanke executes final act to "save" our country, which in fact is the last nail in the coffin;
(3) Second Red Arrow – Tim Knight appointed Dictator for Life of the United States as the markets plunge into oblivion.

