Disappointment, thy name is precious metals. Take a look:

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Precious metals haven’t basked in glory days since 2011, over a full decade ago. Earlier this year, due to the Ukraine war, gold had a brief day in the sun, but it has tumbled about 15% in the past four months. Precious metals seem to be good for just one thing, and that is to disappoint investors. Our present days would seem to be made custom-created for gold’s prosperity, but the price action says otherwise.

Whereas I have often referred to the improbably bullish (to many) US dollar as an anti-market, the liquidity collector from the global liquidity driven and speculative mess created by the Fed and its fellows, here is a look at some markets (ETFs & indexes) in their opposite or ‘anti’ suit. In other words, here are some charts flipped over. If the chart is bullish the underlying asset/market is not.
The major risk in my opinion is in the over-hyped inflation trades as inflation signals fade. That means commodities, mainly. But also Materials, Financials and other areas thought to be ‘reflation’ sensitive and highly cyclical.
(more…)Remember all the zaniness in early March about how commodities were going to the moon, and metals such as nickel were so red-hot that the exchange literally had to shut down so that a short-seller in China wouldn’t blow up? Well, sure enough, the insanity top-ticked the entire market, and it has completely retraced.
