Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

ETF Focus: Metals

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Preface to all eight parts: The stock market from January 4 through early February 24th was like an action movie. The market from late February 24th through March 25th was like watching the end credits roll. Perhaps we’ll see an other sea change soon, but regardless, I have grouped together a few similar ETFs and have put remarks in the caption area.

The miners did a breakout above the resistance trendline (note horizontal) and successfully tested support during the selloff and have resumed strength
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The Yield Curve Flattener

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As the Yield Curve flattens, this inflation is different from the 2020 inflation

In 2020 an inflationary yield curve steepener was in the bag as the Fed dropped and pinned the Funds Rate and sucked up every bond it could get its hands on (in order to monetize/print). The bond market made the logical signals about the resulting inflation as the short end was pinned by a combination of Fed policy and the frightened, risk ‘off’ herds clustered in T-Bills and short-term Treasuries, relative to the long end.

Gold and then stocks picked up on it first, followed by commodities, which were tardy but are now the star performer late in the inflation cycle. Hmm…

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