I’ve been yammering on and on about SMCI as a terrific short for weeks, and today we get this news:
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
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Break Up On Crypto
All the new weekly pivots are on the daily charts posted below.
The last few days I have been watching the resistance at the daily middle band on all three of BTCUSD (Bitcoin), ETHUSD (Ethereum) and SOLUSD (Solana). An H&S pattern had formed and broken down on Solana, and another was still forming on Ethereum. If resistance at those daily middle band held then the setup was likely to break down further, into targets of 119 on Solana and 2,250 on Ethereum. On a sustained break up over those daily middle bands, and the failure of the H&S pattern on Solana on a break back up over the H&S right shoulder high at 152.17.
(more…)Vive la Résistance!
The idiotic Powell Pivot rally has already been set into flames, as God intended. Resistance is hard as a rock. Here’s the SPY:

Broker/Dealer Index
Below is an index I don’t share too often, which is the Broker/Dealer Index. This is yet another pitch-perfect example of a pattern failure (the triangle) followed by a powerful retracement right back to the apex. I would anticipate a clean reversal on this when we hit Monday.

Everything’s Eventual
Finally some signs of a genuine, can be seen with the naked eye, retracement on equity indices today. I was talking in this morning’s premarket video about the possibility of setting up some decent quality hourly RSI 14 sell signals on SPX and NDX for the first time since the all time highs were made and they set up and fixed this morning into the decline that we have been watching today.
I have been muttering that without retracements there are no chart patterns, and this delivers a shot at finally seeing some of those form, and also a shot at setting up decent possible negative divergences on the daily RSI 14 or RSI 5 charts, again for the first time since the all time highs were made.
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