Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Big Round Numbers

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Elliott Wave International pointed out something interesting tonight — just about every important index under the sun is at the cusp of support at some important round number. It's pretty uncanny………

  • S&P – 800
  • Dow – 8,000
  • Transports – 3,000
  • NASDAQ Composition – 1,500
  • NASDAQ 100 – 1,200
  • OEX – 400
  • Gold (spot price) – 900

At least it will make it easy to get a feel for whether we finally "break" or not.

No Weakness in Dollar

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Take note of the charts below; notice how the USD/CAD seems positioned to pop higher (that is, a stronger dollar) while the EUR/USD is very vulnerable to a fall at that fan line.

I don't think the market can push higher without a move higher by the energies (everyone is focused on the financials, but as we all know, all the banks in the Dow 30 could go to $0.00 without much of an effect anymore); and I don't think the energies are in a position to move higher with the dollar being so strong.

My point is that I think the FX market supports the notion of continued weakness in equities for the short-term.

Financial Time Machine

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In late 1992, when Bank of America's stock price was the same as it is today……….

  • Bill Clinton had recently been elected, but George H.W. Bush was still in office;
  • There was no such thing as an Internet browser;
  • It would be five years before Steve Jobs would set foot inside Apple's buildings again

In the spring of 1968, when Citi's stock price was the same as it is today……….

  • Lyndon Johnson was the President;
  • The most primitive handheld calculator was three years off;
  • The future author of Slope was still a chubby baby