Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Ideal Scenario

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In case God is checking in on this blog and would like to know a really nice way to play things out on the S&P, I think it would go something like this.

  1. Have the big-honkin' announcement come out regarding the "stimulus" package;
  2. After an initial 9/19-style rally (tinted below), have the market completely lose its marbles and plunge to 700;
  3. Bang around 700 for a while as we Slopers sell our puts and cover our shorts;
  4. Have it dawn on the market that "the plan might work after all" and start a meaningful, multi-month rally;
  5. Give us the shorting opportunity of a lifetime sometime later this year

As it is now, the only really formidable resistance is at about 940.

Given how cruel and devious this market has been all of 2009, I doubt it's going to make it that easy on any of us. So we continue to – – groan – – take it one single day at a time, with tomorrow's pre-opening jobs report being the big kahuna.

In Happier Times

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Before the planet's attention was poisoned with the likes of Bernie Madoff, Ken Lewis, John Thain, and all the rest of the bloodsucking, greedy, crooked leeches, there was a different man put in front of a Senator to defend federal funding. Specifically, Fred Rogers – – if you want to see a saint in action, and the diametric opposite of the kinds of "leaders" you see on TV today, watch this clip.