Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Another Krazy Day

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Well, it was another insane, manic day in the market. Looking at SRS, "the widow-maker", is a sight to behold:

And remember, this isn't even a 3x fund!

I was tempted, based on the tortured pattern below, to go long the /ES, but the countertrend rally is so long in the tooth that I simply would not. On the contrary, I entered a short position of 10 /ES at 865. But the monotonous situation I've been stuck in for weeks now ("IRA kicking but, everything else lame") continues to prevail.

The big earnings announcement post-close today was GOOG, and I guess whatever they said was encouraging. The line I've drawn below suggests a sorta-kinda H&S pattern, and wouldn't you know it, the after-hours trading on GOOG is exactly at that level. I actually put more credence at the line (not shown here) at the higher 421.60 level, which marks the 50% retracement line for GOOG's entire history as a public company.

I am a "nervous long" on OIH, which broke above the long-cited 88.15 level today, only to close at 87.58. Unless OIH cracks into the 90s within the next two or three trading sessions, this is probably a false breakout. I am long in a pretty big way OIH, but as I said, I'm jittery about it.

I'll probably do a comment-cleaner late tonight, but I'll leave it at this for now.

IRAte

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I'm starting to hate my IRA. Why? Because it goes up practically every day.

And isn't that twisted? But it tells me that this fume-based rally still has legs. I mean, I bought the item below just yesterday and it's up over 34%!

When trash is rising, it usually indicates that the end is near, but I'm going to just keep holding on to the trash until I get stopped out. But, man, this is getting silly.

Buying Options

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I have been – – try to guess – -that's right! Updating stops! And in doing so, I've also been beefing up my 48 put positions in my personal account (see watch list on right column: Puts: Bearish). The low VIX is encouraging me to amplify some of these positions, as I don't think we're going to see a sub-30 VIX for at least another year (e.g. we're relatively "cheap" on the VIX side right now).