Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

FBHS at $24.54 and LTD at $48.47 (by Ryan Mallory)

By -

I went into today thinking that if the market can pop off of the morning lows, that would be my cue to get long 2-3 more positions. So far I got two of them, and one of the others happens to be SINA that I'm watching closely. 

The two trades that I took, Fortune Brands Home and Security (FBHS) and Limited Brands (LTD) offer similar setups in two separate industries, where there is an uptrend in place, followed by a pullback to support. Both should be considered swing-trades and both have tight stop-losses attached to them. 

Here's my two new long positions and their setups.

LONG: Fortune Brands Home and Security (FBHS)

Fortune Brands Home and Security FBHS

LONG: Limited Brands (LTD)

Limited Brands LTD

Be sure to checkout Ryan's Blog at SharePlanner.com

Short SP 500 – Falling in the Channel

By -

As predicted here yesterday and here on Tuesday we had another down day on the SP 500.

What we didn't get was an opening bump in order to open a better short position

Since we broke through R1 – I'm fairly confident the target bottom of the channel / 50 DMA around 1368 will be reached

For those that don't trade the e mini futures contracts, you can either play SPY or SDS the 2x short ETF.

My choice would be to short SSO, the 2x Bull ETF, but no shares are available.

The corresponding trade on SDS would be a Buy @ or near 14.51, with a stop loss at 14.30 and a target price around 15.41

The trade represents 6.2% gain with 1.4% risk

Lazy Trade Long & Short: SIG & DTG (by Ryan Mallory)

By -

I haven't added any new positions to the portfolio  yet this morning, but instead I want to watch the market action into the afternoon session and see whether the turnaround we saw yesterday afternoon goes ignored and the market pushes lower again today. If that happens, I'll add a new short position to the portfolio (for a total of 3 short positions) to hedge my long positions in which there is a total of 6. 

If we are to rally higher then I'll likely add one additional stock to the portfolio as well as close out the BRO short that I have. 

Below you'll find today's lazy trades. The double top in DTG is my top candidate to add short if we push lower today. The SIG setup is breaking out of a long-term triangle pattern that should work well for the bulls. 

Here's today's Lazy Trades:

 LONG: Signet Jewelers (SIG)

Signet Jewelers SIG

SHORT: Dollar Thrifty Group (DTG)

Dollar Thrifty Group DTG

Be sure to checkout Ryan's Blog at SharePlanner.com

Gold Breaks Up (by Springheel Jack)

By -

The downtrend continued yesterday, and on the SPX daily chart the middle bollinger band was tested. If this is just a retracement, or the decline so far has been the first part of a topping pattern, then this is the obvious bounce level. On a break below here, rising channel support, the lower bollinger band and the 50 DMA are in the 1365-70 area and that would be the obvious next target:

(more…)

Keep Perspective – It’s the Winning Trade Over the Long Haul

By -

The gold-silver ratio is declining with the broad asset market party as silver explodes higher, leading the speculative impulse.

We are managing the now confirmed bottom in the HUI, we are managing its upside targets (hint, we're just about at the first
one) and we are managing the probabilities with respect to the
breakouts in gold and silver… all in the newsletter week to week and
more dynamically, in email updates such as the one that went out this
morning.

For our general purposes here however, let's just note that the entire
endorphin release in the broad markets has come against a situation
where the noise level about QE has gone way over the top with the euro
leaders squabbling and jawboning and US Fed members alternately playing
good cop and bad cop to a market that doesn't really know what to think,
other than 'let's party!'.

I would imagine that there are a lot of people feeling like "shit, I
missed the bottom… I better get in!" and indeed, the AAII individual
investors are at a 4 month high in bullish sentiment:  See 5th item
down, here  http://www.biiwii.com/analysis.htm.

T bonds are UP, while Uncle Buck is down in the face of the euro, which
is UP and probably getting short-covered.  The precious metals are doing
something really constructive here, but what I will say is keep the whole
in mind, not just one or two particular areas of interest.  It's a
circus, a carnival and a casino all rolled into one and perceptions are
now being built and cemented in a mirror opposite to those that got
burnished into the investor mindset in the spring and early summer.

FWIW.

http://www.biiwii.blogspot.com