The Wilted Surge

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Thursday started off with everything zooming higher – – the Euro, the NQ, the ES, gold, silver – you name it. I've been carefully watching both of my trendlines on the ES chart below, and they acted as firm support, as I anticipated. If we can somehow manage to break these lines, the game is going to change very quickly. Until then, the bulls are still in control.

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We have weakened over the past couple of weeks, however, and the Russell 2000 provides a nice example of this. Take a look at the trendline which the $RUT managed to exceed. I am going to zoom in to the highlighted area…….

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…….and as you can see in this close-up, the trendline, which once broken had provided support for a few weeks, has resumed its role as resistance. Thursday's high on the $RUT perfectly tagged this trendline, affirming its importance.

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And although the weakening is taking an annoyingly long while, the same situation is taking place with the miners. Here is the $HUI chart:

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The most encouraging thing on the bearish side – – aside from the fact that we got a 20-point reversal on the ES in the morning – – is the clean formation of the topping pattern on the NASDAQ. Weakness from giants like AAPL and AMZN continues to erode this index. My target remains at about 2950.

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