Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Topping Options

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I gave my preferred topping range last week as 2126-35, with a possible overthrow into the weekly upper band at 2145. The weekly upper band is now at 2152. The high yesterday was at 2131.78, well into that preferred topping zone.

Short term the chart looks weak, with a 5min sell signal, a 15min sell signal not yet fixed, and a possible rising wedge resistance trendline hit at the high yesterday. That opens up a possible move to test rising support from 2067 and the 50 hour MA, currently in the 2012-4 area. A break below there should mean mean that the spring high has most likely been made, though it might still then be retested. SPX 15min chart:

150519 SPX 15min Poss Rising Wedge

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A Fascinating Ratio

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A reader wrote me and mentioned that, years ago, Peter Schiff had suggested it would be more important to watch the ratio of the stock market priced in gold rather than the stock market priced in dollars. In ProphetCharts, he tried to see what the SPY/GLD ratio would look like, and it yielded some interesting results. I’ve done the same thing, and I’ve got to say, this is a graph that gets my attention. It suggests more upside, but the long-awaited reversal could be a very powerful one. (In an ideal situation, bad for stocks and good for gold).

0518-SPYGLD