Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

World Market Index: Is This Capitulation?

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I last wrote an update about the World Market Index on January 8th.

Since then, this index has continued to drop below the critical support level of 1600 and price now sits just below the next support level of 1550.

As you can see from the 5-Year Daily chart below, it’s a long way down to major support at 1350. All three indicators point to lower prices…but, the swings are large, and we may see some kind of bounce, although it’s not clear as to when or at what level that may occur.

If the U.S. markets are going to lead global markets to some kind of bounce, it’s worthwhile monitoring the price action of the SPX and the SPX:VIX ratio, as I discussed in my post of January 15th, for possible clues as to timing of such a bounce.

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Goofy Gambles

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I’ve got twenty long positions (which, for me, is as freakish as Khloe Kardashian being granted an actual PhD from Stanford University), and they fall into a couple of categories. Most of them are lottery plays – – goofy gambles, as I’ve named them here – – which I’m hoping will bounce into yet another lower high. I’ve drawn arrows suggesting the sorta-kinda place they might ascend (and I’ve got a bunch more for Slope Plus members in a separate post today). Tomorrow I will do a “Legit Longs” post with more classically sensible long positions.

1117-GOOFYPII

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Sour MLK

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Preface: Slope has historically been a very visual piece of work. Oftentimes a post of mine will be nothing more than a chart without a single word. This post is going to be quite different, because I have a lot to say. Read it, though, since there might be some useful morsels in here for you.

I’ve had nine dogs in my life, and none of them have been inclined to chase cars (well, except maybe for my little Cotons, who chased the UPS truck yesterday, since it’s always dropping off annoying packages). From time to time I’ll read the musing that dogs do, in fact, chase cars, but they wouldn’t know what to do with one if they actually managed to catch it.

I feel a bit like that right now. For six miserable years, I was fighting a bull market. In my naivete, I failed to grasp that scumbags like Bernanke would actually be willing to doom this country to countless trillions in debt just so his Wall Street buddies could re-establish their fortunes. I guess I’m just not cynical enough. But in spite of all the good reasons that The Market Should Start Falling Here, it never took place, and bears like me got run over, battered, beaten, and consistently disappointed.

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