Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Let’s Put It This Way…….

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I have a couple of short ideas which are interesting options opportunities as well (by way of a long put positions). There are a couple of reasons I mention options, which I normally don’t do: (1) both of these stocks have lofty triple-digit price values, which gives them a lot of “juice” in raw dollar terms to the downside (2) the price for volatility is relatively low these days.

In other words, I wouldn’t dare put up a post suggesting put options on a day like, say, February 11th, when the VIX was in the 30s (it’s about half that value now).

Anyway, here they are – Baidu and Amazon; I’ve tinted the gaps for each.

0303-BIDU
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Possible Fail Area Just Above

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SPX inched a little higher to 1986 yesterday and there is a very possible fail area just a little higher. The main target level I’ve been looking at for this move is the 61.8% fib retracement in the 2000 area, and slightly below that I have possible rising wedge resistance, the daily upper band and the weekly middle band, all in the 1995 area at the close yesterday. There is a lot of negative divergence on SPX and ES here and we may well see a fail in that area. SPX daily chart:

160303 SPX Daily Resistance Levels

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