Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
A Tale Of Two Bull Flags
SPX and NDX both delivered breakaway gaps up on Wednesday that were not filled. Both of the possible bull flags that I was looking at on SPX/ES and NDX/NQ as the lower probability alternate on Wednesday morning broke up, and SPX and ES have made the minimum bull flag targets at the full retests of their all time highs this morning. So what now?
This is a smaller but still significant inflection point here at the marginal new all time high on SPX/ES. The possible SPX daily RSI 5 buy signal that I was looking at on Wednesday morning fixed and has made target, and it’s possible that SPX / ES will make marginal new highs here in the second highs of double tops. If so, ideally, there would be a pullback in this area and then marginal higher highs to set up a daily RSI 5 sell signal on SPX.
Fourth Approach
The emerging markets fund has soared almost 50% since the beginning of last year. That’s a pretty amazing performance for such a broad base of equities.
I would like to point out – – for what it’s worth (which isn’t necessarily that much in today’s QE-fueled world) this is the fourth time prices have approached the red trendline drawn below, each of which has carved out a slightly lower high. We shall see if a fourth descent begins, as before, or if at last this breaks above the resistance.
Inflation Siesta
The latest economic data came out this morning, and it indicates that, in spite of the Fed’s best efforts, inflation just is not kicking in. CPI fell for the fourth month in a row, and the US dollar has continued doing what it’s been doing the entirety of 2017, which is sink.
In turn, precious metals are getting a hearty bid (which will probably blow me right out of my DUST position at the opening bell). For gold bulls to reclaim power, they’ll need to close the gap I’ve pointed out below and push above it. Otherwise, this is just going to be another opportunity for the bears to take advantage of precious metals weakness, more or less in place for the past six years and counting. (more…)
