Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Strong Daily Lower Band Rides

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The type of very strong daily lower band ride that I was describing on Friday turned out to be exactly what we saw, so I’m taking a moment to look at that this morning as these happen on a regular basis, two to four times a year or so, and tend to behave in a very characteristic way.

Looking at the SPX daily chart below, with just the two and three standard deviation bands marked, you can see how the body of the daily candle for the last two days is roughly under the 2sd daily lower band. That is normal, though a little misleading as I was noting on Friday that these often find resistance very close to the daily lower band. It looks from the chart as though the high on Friday was well above the 2sd lower band, but that’s because the 2sd lower band declined from 4492 at the time of the high of the day, with that high just above at 4494, into 4468 at the close.

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