Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Support Breaks on US Indices

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In my last post on Wednesday I was looking at the move up from Tuesday afternoon’s low and noting that the almost complete absence of participation on DIA and IWM was a serious concern, as on a pullback on the tech-led rally, we might then see significant support breaks on Dow and Russell stocks.

At the same time the new inflation figures landed and, not to beat around the bush, they sucked, with a 0.2% rise in inflation led by food prices. The consensus seems to be that the Fed will cut rates this month anyway, but I’m doubtful about that, and regardless of that, the rally in bonds seems to have failed to reach the obvious targets and to be resuming the larger downtrend, so in practical terms interest rates, as delivered in bond yields, are already back on an upward path.

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