Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Staring at the Ceiling

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If you look at Slope’s trading rules, number VIII (that’s 8 for you non-ancient-Romans) reads as follows:


VIII. EMOTIONAL AWARENESS IS YOUR GREATEST ASSET – Feeling super-confident and giddy? You should probably be in all cash. Feeling demoralized, frustrated, and out of synch? You’re probably close to a great entry point.

Hmmm. How has the Timster been feeling lately? Demoralized? Check. Frustrated? Check. Out of synch? Czechoslovakia. That’s probably why I woke up at 3 in the morning and stayed up until I got up.

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Bitcoin Breaking Key Resistance

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In my last post on Monday I was looking at the bull and bear scenarios on the big three coins that I cover, with particular focus on the strongest setup on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). I was also noting the similar setup on equity indices at the same inflection point, which is important as both Crypto and equity indices have tended to be significantly correlated in the past, and there is no current sign that is different here.

Since then both Crypto and equity indices have rallied strongly and are both reached yesterday the verge of a final break up that would look for retests of many of their all-time highs.

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The Obvious Point of Failure

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In my last post yesterday I was looking at the big inflection points in the current rally on US equity indices that could take SPX and QQQ, and perhaps also DIA and IWM, to retests of their late 2024 all time highs.

The first inflection point in this process was at the Monday’s lows and key support, and they rallied there.

The second inflection point was after the initial rallies, and they pushed through to the upside there.

The third inflection point we reached this morning, and if we are to see this move fail hard, then this is the most likely remaining place to see that. Equally, if bulls push through this, on SPX there is a clear path to the all time high retest and that would likely be made.

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