Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Rally Failing So Far On Crypto

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In my last post on Tuesday I was looking at the very promising rally setup on Crypto and was looking at the important daily middle band resistance that needed to be broken and converted to open the upside. So far, that has not been going well and while the rally setup hasn’t failed yet, it may well be failing.

On the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart, there was a clear break back above the daily middle band on Wednesday, then a clear rejection back below yesterday. That was not promising, as more often than not this delivers a low retest.

BTCUSD daily chart:

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The Wisdom of the Bear Call Spread

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Fighting Less, Fading Smarter

“The market doesn’t reward your intellect. It rewards your ability to wait, structure, and survive.”

⚔️ The Urge to Short

When the market rallies hard—especially in the face of deteriorating breadth, poor macro headlines, or inflated valuations—every contrarian trader feels it:

“This can’t last.”
“I’ve seen this movie before.”
“Time to fade the rip.”

And yet, time and time again, they short too soon. They buy naked puts. They swing for the top, albeit short-term or long-term. They fight the trend head-on—with no armor and no plan.

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