Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

From Dawn to Musk

By -

Last year, I made a number of predictions about Elon Musk’s role in the federal government. Specifically, I said that (a) he would never save the $2 trillion he claimed (b) he would be frustrated at the lumbering, sclerotic pace of government (c) he would quit by the spring and return to his corporate roles, where he enjoys absolute power.

Well, you’ve heard the news by now. A month ago, he was already inching away from all the DOGE stuff, and now he’s completely pulled the plug……………just like I predicted.

(more…)

The Overconfidence Trap

By -

Why Your Best Options Trades Are Setting You Up to Fail

Before we dive in, a quick note: If you’re looking for clear, practical education on options trading — without the noise — I invite you to check out The Option Premium.

It’s my free weekly newsletter, built for traders who want to make smarter, more disciplined decisions. Each issue breaks down actionable strategies, market insights, volatility signals, and premium-selling opportunities — always through a risk-first lens.

Whether you’re placing your first iron condor or managing a portfolio built around poor man’s covered calls, you’ll find ideas and tools you can put to work immediately.

You just nailed three iron condors in a row. SPY stayed perfectly between your strikes, theta decay worked like clockwork, and you closed each position at 20% profit in under two weeks. You’re feeling invincible. Sound familiar?

(more…)