Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Weekend Thoughts

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Back in my post on Friday 16th May I was looking at the daily RSI 5 spike over 90 on SPX and noted that:

‘From here this means that SPX likely at least consolidates without going much higher for two weeks and then we could see a larger retracement but without any strong expectation of a big decline. I am wondering though about a possible backtest of the 200dma, currently in the 5760 area‘

It has been two weeks since then and we’ve seen that consolidation with a low at the backtest of the 200dma. Is there anything obviously bearish about this consolidation? Not yet, and I am still looking for likely retests of the all time highs on SPX and QQQ, and perhaps also on DIA and IWM, though I’m still thinking that an equities moonshot through the rest of the year seems unlikely.

In my premarket video for paying subscribers on Friday morning I was looking at an interesting setup on ES and NQ, where both had and still have decent quality double tops, and a smaller H&S had formed on both that on a break down would have a target close to the larger double top support levels.

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