Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Lutnick Bupkis

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When this week began, I mentioned there were going to be three big “events” over the next nine days. First, the announcement from the US/China trade talks; second, the CPI report (coming out tomorrow morning before the open), and third, the FOMC Kabuki Theatre next Wednesday. Of these three, it was the first one that had me by far the most worried. Thus, when I saw the equity futures start gyrating wildly, I rushed back to my computer to see what the news was. And…………..

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Trump 2.0, Powell & Bond Market

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Excerpted from the June 8th edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole (#866):

He’s at it Again

Trump is badgering Powell relentlessly about interest rates. Aside from being great theater (of the absurd), the odds are near zero that the Fed will cut in June and very small they’ll cut in July. CME Group, which we have noted tends to be more of a windsock than an accurate prediction tool, currently sees the winds blowing to the tune of 97.4% “no cut” in June and 83.3% “no cut” in July. Come September they start to favor a .25% cut.

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