Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

An Inverse Correlation To Depend On

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We did the monthly free public Chart Chat at theartofchart.net yesterday, and if you missed that the recording is posted on the November Free Webinars page here.

We were asked a question about a correlation there, and I remarked that I don’t think most correlations are worth much. If you think USD is going down and therefore gold should go up, then it’s best to cut out the middleman and just short USD. That’s not to say however that there aren’t some striking correlations around.

As part of her ongoing campaign to make me feel old and decrepit my daughter has found herself a job, and while she was going to that job on Saturday morning she was astonished to find a group of enthusiastic Flat Earthers sharing the … um …. flat news in the city centre. It appears that Chester is a major centre for these hardcore traditionalists, meaning that there appear to be at least five of them, and they have a website with reasonably grammatical sentences and so on here. It’s certainly an interesting read and they seem very passionate about their beliefs. (more…)

The Ghost Of Volatility Past

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Are the equity indices topping out here or not? I think yes, though likely just for a retracement before higher highs. SPX is retesting good trendline resistance, is on a strong daily RSI 5 / NYMO sell signal, and a daily RSI 14 sell signal is now brewing as well. Another retest of the all time high would establish possible nested double tops. Maybe. SPX daily chart:

171031 SPX Daily

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A Whiff Of Grapeshot

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Nice trend down for the first half day today. There is still an outstanding H&S target below on NQ in the 5975 area, but the strong support zone on ES in the 2539-43 has been tested with the LOD currently at 2541.5. That is a possible H&S neckline, and if a right shoulder forms the ideal right shoulder high would be in the 2561/2 area.

On the bigger picture the strong daily RSI 5 / NYMO sell signal that fixed on SPX is playing out, and it looks unlikely that will reach the possible near miss target today. That would fit with the possible H&S forming on ES, with would have a target in the 2507-12 area on a conviction break down. That is a decent match with the obvious first trendline support target on SPX, currently in the 2500 area. SPX daily chart:

171025 SPX Daily

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Finally Monsieur, A Wafer Thin Mint

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I’ve been mentioning that TF/RUT has been forming some kind of bull flag that should deliver a retest of the all time highs on TF/RUT, and that bull flag is a clear falling megaphone flag on RUT that underthrew bullishly yesterday morning and broke up this morning with a minimum target at a retest of the all time high on RUT at 1514.94. The all time high on TF was made outside RTH and is slightly higher in the 1518.40 area. I’d expect both to be tested before any serious reversal. RUT 60min chart:

171020 RUT 60min

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