Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Strange Days on US Treasuries

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In my last post on oil and natural gas I was talking about starting to do a post every week or two reviewing a single instrument that I cover in my futures and currencies charts on multiple timeframes to sketch out the higher probability paths going forward. This is the first of those posts, apart obviously from my earlier posts on oil and nat gas. I’ll be aiming to do one of these posts every week.

This week I’m going to look at a very important inflection point that looks likely to be coming up on US treasuries over the next few months to a year. I wrote in January on the TNX daily chart below that I was expecting a possible topping pattern to form, either a double top or an H&S after a test of the obvious possible H&S neckline at 32.53.

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Huge News Week Part Two

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On election day I was writing that the huge news this week would likely dominate the markets, and the first and larger part of the news is in, with Trump elected President again, and markets breaking higher in response.

I was also writing a few days ago about two unfinished business targets above that I was expecting to see hit within weeks and they were a new all time high on QQQ (done), a retest of the 2024 high on IWM (done) and possibly a retest of the 2021 all time high on IWM (also done). That has cleared out the unfinished business targets above so today I’m going to be looking at possible targets higher on the US indices.

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Three Crypto Bulls

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In the conclusion to my post yesterday I said:

‘So what’s the takeaway here? Well before the open this morning I was talking about the decent looking possible double bottoms on Bitcoin, Solana, SPX and DIA. Those have broken up on Bitcoin and Solana, and the ones on SPX and DIA are heading that way at speed at the moment. We could see a strong rally across the board today and, subject to the huge news week this week, that could take all of these back to last week’s highs. ‘

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Binary Setup Here On Crypto

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Solana (SOLUSD) is the pattern leader on Crypto here, so I’ll start with that today.

I was looking at the possible inflection point on Solana last week as it hit main bull flag resistance and reversed there, and so far that has been playing out in a way that is suggesting that we might see that possible big reversal that I was looking at.

On the daily chart a daily weak RSI 14 sell signal has fixed, Solana has broken back below the daily middle band and backtested the 50dma, currently at 154.90, and resistance is at the daily middle band, currently at 167.15.

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Huge News Week

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It’s election day today and that is one of the two big news events this week that we are aware of, the other being the Fed decision on interest rates. There is a possible setup here for a substantial decline and also for a high retest and when that news is in we may well be see one or the other.

In terms of the high retest, the retest of the low yesterday set a possible daily RSI 5 buy signal brewing on SPX. If that fixes that could support a high retest from here.

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