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After my post on Thursday there was a modest retracement on Crypto but there was no technical damage on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). That held the daily middle band perfectly on the last backtest and the obvious next target is a retest of the last high at 69.5k.
If Bitcoin continues higher from there, the larger bull flag that has broken up has a target at a retest of the all time high at 73,802.641.
(more…)I did a post a month ago looking at the triangles on Oil & Natural Gas. I’ve been following both since, amid the intermittent turbulence in the Middle East, and the rhyming triangles scenario I laid out in the post likely failed on Friday on natural gas. I’ll cover that further down but first I’ll review where we are up to on oil.
On the WTIC chart the triangle that broke down had a target at a retest of the May 2023 low at 63.57, and that remains the case. Invalidation of that target would be at a break back over triangle resistance, currently in the 81.2 area.
(more…)I’ve been writing and talking over the last few months about the overall likely bull flag setups on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Solana (SOLUSD), and the bull flag resistance on Bitcoin was briefly broken a few days ago before the current modest retracement.
I was writing on Wednesday about the small H&S on Bitcoin, which didn’t make target and then failed yesterday on a break over the right shoulder high at 67.8k. That fail has a target at a retest of the October high at 69.5k.
(more…)Yesterday we saw a decent decline which was well overdue and, of the two fixed daily sell signals still fixed on the US indices, the one on DIA reached the possible near miss target, so I’m now disregarding that one, though a follow through decline that closes significantly lower today would likely reach the full target.
DIA broke slightly below the daily middle band, but rallied to effectively close on it, so no clear break. So far for me then, the daily middle band is still holding as support.
(more…)Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been retracing for a couple of days now and I mentioned on the premarket video yesterday morning that a possible small H&S was forming that might deliver some more downside. Since then that H&S has finished forming and has broken down with a target in the 63,500 area.
Now there is always a chance of course that an H&S may reject back up to the high, and if we see that here, this H&S would fail with a target back at a retest of the last high at 69.5k on a break back over the right shoulder high at 67,801.
(more…)
