Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Three Day Rule – Day Three

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It”s been a while since we last saw an example, but one of my strongest historical stats is the Three Day Rule. On this stat, there first needs to be a 2%+ decline, and then on a break back over the 5 day MA, currently at 2627, then on a clear daily closing break back below on either of the next two trading days, then there should be a retest of the previous low (2553.80), before any significant move over the previous high (currently 2672.08). There are no guarantees in trading or analysis, but with the exception of two very marginal higher lows when triangles were forming, this stat has delivered in every instance (so far) going back to the start of 2007.

Unusually I am posting one of our premarket videos for subscribers, but I have a very busy afternoon lined up, and I’m aware I haven’t published much this week. This is the full video covering all 19 futures that I look at in the morning. Worth mentioning as well that I may well be away on Monday. Full Pre-Market Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF (at the start) and then DX, CL, NG, GC, ZB, HG, KC, SB, CC, ZW, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD: (more…)

Better Late Than Never

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I prepared this post a while before the close today but for some reason my media computer took two hours to encode the video. Everything still relevant now so here it is.

In the interim the backtest into the 2619 area is in progress and assuming that support holds, I’m expecting a higher high to make the second high of a double top at one of the obvious resistance levels above at the monthly pivot in the 2676 area, and the daily middle band, now in the 2688 area. Looking for strong resistance at one or the other. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)

One Down, Three To Go

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Today is the end of the first quarter and the first day of the second quarter on Monday traditionally leans 75% bullish. That’s worth bearing in mind here as any bullish move here may follow through on Monday.

Full Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF (at the start) and then DX, CL, NG, GC, ZB, HG, KC, SB, CC, ZW, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD:

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A Promising Start

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ES never managed to break below weekly pivot support last week but the new weekly pivot moved over price and ES is now testing the monthly pivot at 2698, which is holding so far. SPX and NDX have broken their rally rising wedges and retraced 38.2% of them, and if we are to see a backtest here, which looks likely as I write, then the obvious target would be the daily middle band, now in the 2735 area.

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