Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

China’s Shanghai Index & Yuan At Potential Inflection Points

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My post of October 11 mentioned that China’s Shanghai Index broke below a major monthly swing low level of 2638.30 and that it could be headed for its next major support level at 2260, or lower.

Since then, price has fluctuated in both directions and has been attempting to stabilize, but remains just below that former swing low…a potential major inflection point.

Overlayed on all of the following three charts of the USD/CNY forex pair is the Shanghai Index (shown in pink). After price peaked in January of this year, it began an 1,140 point decline, in divergence with a rally in the USD/CNY. (more…)

World Market Headwinds Escalate

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INTRODUCTION

In my Market Forecast for 2018, I thought that, taking into consideration the uncertainty of the 2018 U.S. midterm elections, coupled with likely interest rate hikes, we’d probably see:

  • volatility rise in 2018 and the SPX and other U.S. Major Indices gain only about half of what they gained in 2017, which would mean an approximate increase of 10% for the SPX
  • that Technology would remain fairly strong, while Small-Caps would likely struggle more than Big-Caps
  • that U.S. markets would continue to outperform other World markets (with the performance of their financials playing an important part)

(more…)

Will The FAANGs Lead U.S. Markets Up or Down?

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I last wrote about the FAANGs and FNGU and what I was monitoring going forward in my post of July 30.

Since then, we’ve seen a great decline in the underlying stocks, as can be seen on the following two daily charts (a 1-year and a 2-month).

Of particular note, is that:

  • many of them, are attempting to stabilize around their 20 MA (blue)
  • the rate-of-change (ROC) indicator on all of these, including the SPX, except TSLA and TWTR are below the zero level
  • the 20 MA is below the 50 MA, including AAPL which just crossed below
  • the 20 MA is poised to cross back above the 50 MA on TSLA and TWTR

(more…)

U.S. & World Market Volatility Continues

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Further to last Wednesday’s post, here’s where the U.S. Major Indices stood after each close on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

Thursday’s Close:

Wednesday’s sell-off continued on Thursday, with the nine Major Indices closing at or near a lower near-term support level (or below, as was the case with the NDX and COMPQ), as shown on the following daily charts.

(more…)