Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

In The Eye Of The Storm

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In my last post on Tuesday I was looking at possible rally options from the current 2025 lows, and was looking for a rally lasting at minimum a week or two to make right shoulders on the possible H&S patterns that may be forming on SPX, QQQ and DIA here.

Getting a rally that lasted that long was seeming somewhat doubtful on Wednesday morning but then the highest tariffs were delayed for 90 days and a window of opportunity opened to see that rally.

How much of a reprieve was this tariff delay? Well the existing tariffs already in place before April 2 are still in force against Mexico and Canada, the 25% worldwide tariffs on steel and aluminium are in place, and the 25% worldwide tariff on cars and car parts imported into the US announced before April 2 remains as well. Of the other April 2 tariffs, all have been cut to 10% except the tariffs on China, with the US and China now in a full trade war. The White House has made it clear that a minimum tariff of 10% will now be levied on all trade partners indefinitely with rare exceptions that may be negotiated.

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It’s Getting Tougher

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I have really been nailing US equity markets so far this year. I published a post on Wednesday 19th February, the day the SPX made the current all time high, looking at the high quality double top setups on SPX, QQQ and DIA, and the ok quality H&S on IWM, and all those topping patterns have now reached target with DIA, the last to reach target, hitting that on Friday.

I published a post on Monday 18th March looking at touches of the weekly 3sd lower band over the last few years and calling for a rally lasting at least a week or two based on the past history of similar setups on the weekly 3sd lower band, and we saw that too.

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WEEKLY Profit Targets

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It looks like the market may try to rally already this week. If that happens, it’s quite probable that the rally will be short-lived (at least until the current black cloud persists…). So, if the rally is a Bear Market Rally, these models below may help to determine “how far” these rallies can go. These are WEEKLY models, so as a minimum the time horizon is 1 week (or multiples of that), but things are happening VERY fast at the moment, so I would not be surprised to see a 1-week rally and it may even end on Wednesday.

All this said, here are the targets to monitor, to go SHORT again and profit from the next leg down:

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