That’s some good chartin’ there…….although personally I’d exit if we got to either of those gaps.

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That’s some good chartin’ there…….although personally I’d exit if we got to either of those gaps.

We are approaching a major trendline, which may offer a short-term long opportunity for both the precious metals mining ETFs.

The global economy is heading for the dumper. Don’t listen to Powell. Or Yellen. Or that mincing, preening, caricature Tom Lee. There’s nothing but darkness ahead, and if you want a guide that’s better than Powell’s lying hole, look at commodities. They’re falling because demand is shrinking.

While it is far from the only important indicator for the markets, the Treasury bond yield curve (10yr-2yr) is very important because it takes what is probably the most important market for macro signaling (the bond market) and gives us a view into the dynamics between short and long-term yields. In the bond market, duration means a lot.
For one example, long-term bonds are much more vulnerable to inflation’s negative effects than short-term bonds. Short-term bonds also act as a liquidity haven during deflationary market crises. Long-term bonds can work quite well during disinflationary times and pay out better income than short-term bonds, but in a full out deflation scare when the very system (and its exponential debt load) comes into question insofar as you want bonds, you want short-term (in my experience 1-3 year Treasury, T-bills and Treasury Money Market). In other words, relative safety.
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