Back in May, as the stock market was heading into its final decline
prior to this year’s seemingly improbable second half rally, I wrote an
article called Dumb Money Sold in May and Went Away.
Later, this view was backed up with positions in global emerging bonds
and markets, global bonds, developed global markets, frontier markets,
technology, energy, rare earths, lithium, silver and gold.
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
NASDAQ Pattern Complete and On Its Way Down
As God intended……..
Rotten AAPL Revisited (by Springheel Jack)
I think AAPL is a great company. My family own three iPads, two iPhones and I've even toyed with the idea of buying one of their desktop computers. A year after the death of Steve Jobs AAPL is looking stronger than ever, with just a minor couple of glitches at the launch of the new iPhone as their competition with Google intensifies. I won't be upgrading the OS on my iPhone until there is a Google Maps app but that is a minor irritation.
As well as an AAPL admirer though I am also a chartist, and my strong belief is that the charts should lead without the chartist imposing any preconceptions on where they should be heading. I therefore posted a couple of charts on 13th September mentioning that the setup on AAPL was looking potentially bearish. You can see that post here. I then wrote follow up posts on 2nd and 4th October talking about the alarming RSI setup on the weekly chart and the retracements that this has always led to in the past, and the possible sloping H&S that was forming on the daily chart. You can see those posts here and here.
Financial ETFs vs. Major Indices in U.S., Europe & China (by SB)
Depicted on the three Daily charts below are a ratio
comparison of the Financials ETF to a Major Index in the U.S.,
European, and Chinese equity markets. They show how the ETF has advanced
compared to the Index. In all three cases, the Financials have outperformed the
Index.
The U.S. XLF:$SPX ratio chart shows that the
Financials ETF is up against formidable resistance and the RSI is nearing
overbought territory. The rising 50 sma is still holding just above the rising
200 sma. Any breakout above the last swing high would likely be met with more
resistance until the RSI reverts back to, at least, the 50 level. We may,
however, see another attempt to make a higher swing high first. Under such a
scenario, I'd look for a negative RSI divergence to signal that a pullback may
be around the corner, which could then send the RSI back to 50, or
lower.
