Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Downside Targets (by Springheel Jack)

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I've been giving some serious thought to downside targets on SPX this morning and, working on the assumption that we are still in a cyclical bull market unless we see a clear break of the 100 WMA, I have a target zone in the 1310-30 area. On the 60min chart there is a decent and perfectly valid sloping H&S targeting the 1325 area. The neckline has already been retested just after the break below it but I'm thinking it may be retested again as the declining channel on SPX has just about held so far and I have a nice looking target at the intersection of the broken neckline and declining channel resistance early next week in the 1404 area. That may not happen but it is an attractive scenario and might well be a good fit with a test of the rapidly declining daily middle bollinger band and the 100 DMA in the same area then:

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