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Beef may be back on the menu within the 1st quarter.
After looking around at a few risk ratios I haven’t looked at in a while and given recent developments in price action, I think there is more cause for concern here than many think.
I have reason to believe that Mr. Market is lying to us.
Chart Analysis
The DAILY chart of the ESH15 below helps us visualize the fact that the potential upside for the DAILY impulse is limited if compared to the potential downside. Why? Because our calculation of the impulse extension TO GO SHORT begins from the last candle closing down, i.e. 1994.5 on January 6, 2015, and so a good part of the possible total extension of this upward impulse has been already eaten away by the current wild bounce. On the other hand, the calculation of the TO GO LONG levels starts from the latest up Close, and so there is plenty of room to go down from these highs. For the investor, this means that it would be a bad idea to buy right now, better wait for the inevitable pullback and then, at that point, we can buy at better prices.
CCOC – Consecutive Closes Odds Calculator (TIME EXTENSION ANALYSIS) (more…)
SPX did an impressive breakaway gap up yesterday and almost made it to my IHS target at 2067. I have further targets in the 2084-6 area from the falling megaphone that broke up on Wednesday and the rising wedge from the low. SPX 15min chart:
