Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Bad Bull Fail Overnight

By -

I had a great looking setup in play last night, and I did the chart and saved it with some confidence that we would see an extension of the rally into the 2090 area today, and then fail into the H&S target at 2054/5. That setup was supported by an IHS that broke up yesterday morning, and clear declining resistance from the highs at the IHS target. That chart is below. SPX 15min chart:

150309-C SPX 15min Rally Scenario

(more…)

That ES Pattern

By -

Well, what a nice morning to wake up to – – a wall of red and assets falling all around. Huzzah! Those who watched me on Tastytrade yesterday may remember I specifically pointed out the topping pattern on the ES. This has worked out great, although the measured moved is only a few points south of here, so I may close up my big DIA short just to be done with it (but keep everything else).

0310-es

Employment, the Economy & Interest Rates

By -

In light of the positive February Employment report NFTRH 333 opened up with some discussion of the details (the devil after all, is in those details)…

Employment, the Economy & Interest Rates

The February Employment report was a strong +295,000 with unemployment dropping to 5.5%. In Friday’s Market Notes update we highlighted that per BLS this was a services-driven report as the leading edge of the economy, the smaller but key manufacturing and industrial sectors, have begun to decelerate (notably in forward-looking ‘New Orders’).

From FloatingPath.com (markups mine) we see the breakdown…

payrolls.fp

(more…)

Simple As ABC

By -

I was going to title this post “Told Ya So”, but I figured that was obnoxious, so we’ll keep it more innocently puerile. As I was going through charts (as I tend to do when I’m not driving the family hundreds of miles up and down California) I noticed three particularly interesting charts that I’ve pointed out as good shorts that are behaving themselves particularly well. In this QE-free environment, technical analysis is working one whole hell of a lot better, and this trio of stocks illustrates that nicely. First, there’s Alcoa, which is following its analog beautifully:

0309-aa

(more…)